We close out our position in BMW – Long Jun25 76 Calls financed by Jun25 60 puts – Bad news already priced in?
- Spot 18% higher since entry price and above our strike
- At price resistance.
- Implied delta on calls now at 0.67 vs 0.32 at open
- We lock in a 3x return on the call leg and 16x return on net premium employed.
- However, we acknowledge that risks still remain more favorable to the upside, due to 1) low positioning in the sector; 2) the possibility of positive news coming out of the upcoming German elections on the 23rd Feb; 3) possible exemptions from US tariffs and 4) being one of the worst performing sectors in the DAX, to catch up with the broader European market performance.